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601318:中国平安:走进投资风险管理

公告日期:2018-10-12

走进投资风险管理
        集团首席投资执行官

              陈德贤


          1  投资面临的挑战与投资业绩

          2  平安集团投资与风险管理体系

          3  保险资金主要投资风险及管理


                             2013-16年保险公                     资产负债错配,                       IFRS9实施后对

                              司非标投资的复合                        国内缺乏长期资                        保险资金有哪些

                              年增长率达55%                        产以匹配负债                          影响

                             今年前6月有7家信                     国内衍生产品市                       未来保险资金有

                              用债主体首次违约                        场仍不发达,投                        哪些投资策略

                             今年前8个月A股下                      资风险对冲工具

                              跌17.28%                              缺乏

            我们面临哪些风险挑战如何管理2.58万亿的保险资金  未来的收益预期如何

                                                                                www.companyname.com


                                              平安险资投资历年收益率

              9.5%

              7.5%                                                                                                                                      6.2%            6.7%            6.5%

                                                                                                                        5.6%            5.9%

              5.5%    4.9%                                4.7%            5.0%            5.2%

                                              4.3%

              3.5%

              1.5%

            -0.5%      2008          2009          2010          2011          2012          2013          2014          2015          2016          2017

            -2.5%              -8.1%

                                  净投资收益率(考虑免税)      总投资收益率(考虑免税)      综合投资收益率(考虑免税)

        投资收益波动率显著低于市场,2012年之后业绩波动显著下降            投资收益率的可预测性显著上升

                                                                                                  54%                                                      100%

                    8%                                                                                  100%                                            85%

                                                                                          23%                                                      81%

                    6%                                5.7%                                                    80%                                      74%

                                                                            4.2%                    2008-2011          60%

                    4%                                                  3.4%                  2012-2017                                                                2006-2011

                                                2.8%                                                                40%                                                  2012-2017

                    2%                                    1.8%

                                                    1.0%                                                            20%

                                  0.3%0.3%

                    0%        NII          TII      TII(含AFS)  7年期国债      沪深300                            0%

                                                                                                                          NII/TII            NII/TII(AFS)


                8.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                      7.2%

                7.0%                                                                                            6.7%

                                                                                                                                                                            6.2%

                6.0%                                                                  5.7%

                                                                                                                                                5.5%

                                      5.0%                    5.0%

                5.0%

                4.0%

                3.0%

                2.0%

                1.0%

                0.0%

                          内涵价值假设            NII                  TII                TII(AFS)            免税后NII            免税后TII        免税后TII(AFS)

  注:保险资金投资国债等投资品种获得的利息享受免税待遇,免税金额对保险公司而言是一种间接的投资收益                                              5  5

                  净投资收益稳步上升                                      NII稳定超越寿险业务赔付金

          单位:亿元

    1,400

    1,200